All right dweebs, as if 2020 wasn’t bad enough, it turns out we all made some guesses throughout the year. I’ll just zoom past everyone and give 1 point for correct predictions, and let’s say ½ point for kinda-sorta-maybe if you squint correct ones? BOLD means I’m giving you points!
Who’s first up?
INSANOLORDThere have been some rumors about a new 2D Metroid game from MercurySteam, either another remake or something original. That seems pretty reasonable. I also think we'll see either the Breath of the Wild followup or a new 3D Mario this year. It's been three years since BotW and Odyssey, and that's more time than it's usually taken EAD Tokyo between Mario games. Also, please, please let this finally be time for Pikmin 4.
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I'm not sure it would be a direct sequel to Odyssey, but that's certainly plausible. Hell, it might not even be a Mario game, EAD Tokyo may have ended up doing something else altogether this time, but I expect to see whatever they're working on this year.
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The Switch is by all accounts very easy to develop for, and MercurySteam made those Castlevania games for 360 and PS3, so it's not like they don't have experience making games for more powerful hardware than the 3DS.
Insanolord made three posts which I've collapsed into one:
- A new 3D Mario was indeed released, in the form of Super Mario 3D All-Stars, but it wasn't a new-new game.
½ point- Ditto for Pikmin. No sequel, but an expanded re-release here too.
½ point- We did indeed see what EAD Tokyo were up to, as the expansion to 3D World is due out early next year.
1 pointTotal: 2 points! Insanolord turns out to have fairly sane, lordly ideas.
Soothsayer ranking: B tier.NICKMITCHI buy the 2D Metroid from Mercury Steam rumor. Wasn't their original pitch to Nintendo an original 2D Metroid game? I vaguely remember Nintendo turning that down and having them do the remake. Since that was a success, it makes sense they would go back and do an original title. Now, whether or not it comes out this year is the iffy part. I was thinking Nintendo might do a "year of Metroid" with the Prime Trilogy, Metroid V, and Prime 4 all with a year, but with Prime 4 pushed back, I don't think that will pan out. However, because Prime 4 got delayed, they may not want to sit on the other two for too long.
I think we'll see a new Kirby game. It'll have been two years since Star Allies, and Super Kirby Clash is more like a side-game.
No Prime 4 news this year.
I'll go bold and say Breath of the Wild 2: Smell My Hand releases this year. It'll have been about 3 years, not counting DLC development. They're using the same engine and ideas from the original development. I'm thinking the development time won't take as long as normal for those reasons.
Three out of the six fighters from the new pass will drop this year. They will be Travis Touchdown, Dante, and a Pokemon.
Splatoon sequel/spin-off is announced/teased for 2021.
Switch Pro releases alongside BotW2, has more battery power than current model, and less framerate drops when docked.
Star Fox game announced for 2021.
[…]
Also going to predict that Rhythm Heaven comes to Switch this year. Switch launched with a party game (1, 2, Switch) then had another the following year (Super Mario Party), then followed up with Mario & Sonic this past year. So, for the 2020 Switch party game, I'm thinking they bring that back.
Nickmitch came in hot!
- We don't really know if a year of Metroid was planned, but it certainly didn't occur!
½ point- Depending on your definition of "news", we also didn't get Prime 4 news this year. Sure some job listings were posted by Retro Studios, but I'll give Nick full marks here.
1 point- A new Kirby game was indeed released, Kirby Fighters 2 came out in September. A spin-off, sure, but not a free-to-play one.
1 point- Another technicality: four new Smash Bros. fighters were released instead of three, BUT three of them were indeed from the new season pass.
1 point- Travis Touchdown is playable in Smash Bros., but only through a Mii costume.
½ point- There was a 2020 party game, but not Rhythm Heaven.
½ pointTotal: 4½ points! Nickmitch is a venerable Casssandra, read my tea leaves!
Soothsayer ranking: A tier LUIGI DUDESeems more like tradition at this point. We got Galaxy then Galaxy 2 which expanded on it. Then we got 3D Land with a sequel 3D World after that. Odyssey felt a lot like Galaxy 1 and 3D Land where the game was overall easier and the devs intentionally holding back as to not overwhelm the players with what they were trying to do with this type of Mario game.
So I'd be very surprised if we didn't get an Odyssey 2 that expands the gameplay the way Galaxy 2 and 3D World did. I doubt Toyko EAD used up all their good idea's, especially when so much of the game hardly even uses the game mechanics to their fullest.
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Covid really messed up Nintendo's release schedule. The fact they're giving a port of a rather niche franchise a pretty important end of year slot, doesn't bode well for the holiday season. I wouldn't be surprised if the rumored Mario 3D World Deluxe is going to be their big November game this year, along with the remasters of the other 3D Mario games.
[…]
If they feel they can release 3D World in February of next year, then they got to be pretty confident in what is planned for November/December and I can't think of anything that's been in development that would be bigger then a Mario platformer then Zelda.
Luigi Dude was close but not quite there:
- we did indeed hear of a Mario expansion, but it was for 3D World, rather than Odyssey.
½ point- Mario 3D All-Stars came out in September, rather than November, and 3D World is next year.
½ point- The big holiday release turned out to be Hyrule Warriors: Age of Calamity, which is basically a Zelda game.
½ pointTotal: 1½ pointSoothsayer ranking: Madame Clairvoya.BROODWARSWell, the port train continues full steam ahead but it's gotta start slowing down now... right? How much more can still be ported/remastered at this point?
Wind Waker HD, Xenoblade Chronicles X, Wind Waker HD, Super Mario Galaxy 2, Wind Waker HD, Donkey Kong Country Returns, Metroid Prime Trilogy, Wind Waker HD, Twilight Princess HD, Skyward Sword (today’s Mario announcements make me want to revisit the other thread).
Also: Yoshi's Woolly World & Fatal Frame: Maiden of Black Water.
Also Also: The Wii & Wii U Virtual Consoles.
Broodwars jinxed it and now Nintendo are releasing Fire Emblem 1 separately from their NES app for 6 dollars instead of zero.
½ pointSoothsayer ranking: Doug Bowser.MR BUNGLEHere are my predictions for Nintendo's first party line up in 2020
- Either BOTW 2 or Bayonetta 3 (but not both)
- A mini-game collection (Super Mario Party 2, Wario Ware, etc.
- A Mario RPG (Paper Mario or Mario and Luigi)
- A Mario Platformer (2D or 3D)
- A sports game (probably Mario)
- A Wii U port (could be one of the above, my guess is Super Mario 3D World)
- A 3DS port (could be one of the above, my guess is Kid Icarus: Uprising
- Something from a new IP
- Something from an IP we have not seen in a while
- A Kirby game
- A Donkey Kong game of some sort
-I'm counting Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics as a mini-game collection.
1 point- Paper Mario: The Origami King came out
1 point- Not one, but two Mario platformers: Super Mario Bros. 35 and 3D All-Stars Collection.
1 point- Fitness Boxing 2 and Jump Rope Challenge are both new sports games.
1 point- Multiple Wii U ports happened, 3D World is coming next year.
1 point- No 3DS ports unless you convince me Xenoblade Chronicles is a port of the New 3DS version.
- Kirby Fighters 2 is your new Kirby game
1 point- Jump Rope Challenge is technically a new I.P.
1 point- Clubhouse Games: 51 Worldwide Classics was a dormant I.P. since the DS days. I'm not counting Brain Training, since that had a 3DS game in Japan and PAL regions.
1 pointTotal: 8 points!!!Soothsayer ranking: S tier! Mr. Bungle, what's gonna be the winning lottery ticket?
KHUSHRENADAIt seems no one called "unannounced shadow drop Mini Directs". No one in this thread knows anything!

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With the way the Paper Mario trailer seemed to end on the odd note of Mario with the Samus helmet, it makes me wonder if this was meant for their E3 Direct and would then lead into a Metroid game announcement. Highly doubt it would be anything Prime 4 but people talked about a possible 2D Metroid game from Mercury Steam. Maybe that is what it could have been leading to.
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So, I'd say it is now official that we won't be seeing a Direct this year unless something happens late December for next year releases. Nintendo is just shadow-dropping new games and sudden release dates individually instead. Not sure a new Hyrule Warriors game trying to ride the BotW coattails is really something that could compete against new consoles possibly dropping at that time over 3D World but that's what Nintendo is going with.
Khush was right about how we wouldn't see a general Direct this year.
1 pointHe was also correct about none of us knowing anything, but we already knew that fact so it’s not really a prediction.
Soothsayer ranking: Captain Obvious.OEDOThis reveal lends more credence to the 3D Mario collection rumour, since this was also part of it, and Venture Beat also casually dropped "Pikmin 3 Deluxe" as something that's supposed to be part of Nintendo's 2020 plans today as well. If those two rumours pan out, then their second half of the year lineup is starting to take shape.
Granted
Oedo's were based on someone else's rumors, but hey, Lindsay Lohan built a music career on
Rumors.
2 points!
Soothsayer ranking: Herbie Fully Loaded.STRATOSI wonder if this was the case, but it was being made for the 3DS since allegedly there were several 3DS projects that got tabled when Bowser's Inside Story bombed. So presumable it would be ported to Switch, but that change could delay the game, especially if MercurySteam has little-to-no experience working with Switch.
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Also, this doesn't rule out a base SKU upgrade like the one last year that gave the Switch extra battery power.
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I've seen some theories that with Zelda's 35th coming up in the Spring we may see a similar blowout for that franchise once the Mario anniversary winds down in March.
Things we could see in a Zelda anniversary:
- Wind Waker HD / Twilight Princess HD
- Re-release of 4-Swords Anniversary title (the GBA remake on DS that was released for previous anniversaries)
- Zelda 3D collection (OOT, MM, Master Quest) or a rerelease of the Gamecube Zelda collection bonus disc (though most of those are released on S/NES Online)
- 2D Zelda online battle royale (4-Swords like title?)
- Zelda Dungeon Maker announcement
- 3DS Zelda Collection (OOT, MM, Phantom Hourglass, Spirit Tracks)
I think the first three are more likely than not, the others are just me throwing ideas at the wall.
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I was about to go into a breakdown of these challenges they created for themselves, but this isn't the thread for that. My point is BOTW2 and Odyssey 2 could have been planned and pushed back, so the ports could be forced to hold up the holiday lineup. I hope I'm wrong, but it is a possibility.
Stratos didn't make a lot of 2020 predictions, so the best I can do is give
½ point for the Zelda Dungeon Maker. But maybe that was already announced for Link's Awakening by that time?
Soothsayer ranking: Madame FanadiSURE I'LL GRADE MY OWN TEST- Nintendo finally launches their sleep sensor for Pokémon Sleep. It's a Bluetooth device that counts snores.
- Ring Fit Adventure will get a big expansion pass. Maybe it's a sequel with a different exercise device.
- Super Mario Party 2 comes out. The last one sold close to EIGHT MILLION copies.
- Super Mario Maker 2 gets another big content update centered around a Nintendo character. (DK? Wario? WALUIGI AT LAST?)
- A new Nintendo project by Ubisoft Milan & Paris is announced, but won't release until 2021.
- Splatoon: Paint Bucket (spin-off). It's a drawing tool made by the Art Academy studio, to tap into Splatoon's artsy fanbase.
- Captain Toad 2 comes out. They've had a team porting this game twice in 2018, and added DLC to it in February last year. I think those people have been building levels ever since and a sequel releases this year.[/list]
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I was pretty close with my June/July release window for the Xenoblade Chronicles remake. Will this be the year I play my virtual console copy? Will pigs fly at last?
- Ring Fit indeed got a big update (endless jogging mode, a rhythm game, and new languages support). However, it was a free update rather than a paid one, and no new accessories were produced.
½ point- Super Mario Maker 2 did indeed get a big content update, but it was not centered around a character. Rather it added the ability to create entire worlds.
½ point- Once again, pigs did not fly this year.
Total: 1 point I could not see mist in a crystal ball.
Soothsayer ranking: stop the count I won by a lot!!! Wow what an honor I want to thank the Academy and...
FAWFULHopefully the rumor of a traditional Paper Mario comes true, and it's actually a full return with the story depth and original cast of characters like the first 3, not some "it's an RPG again but still all toads and shallow story"
Well, YMMV I suppose
Fawful, but the new Paper Mario has unique characters, and a new story! Hope you weren’t disappointed.
1 pointSoothsayer ranking: Merlon.SHAYMINIt wouldn't be the first time Nintendo dropped a questionable Zelda game on the same day as a new PlayStation console.
Some markets didn't get PS5 until November 19th, and Hyrule Warriors: Age of Calamity is a questionable Zelda game which released... November 20th.
½ point for
Shaymin.
Soothsayer ranking: Xatu used Foresight.MOP IT UPI'm still hoping for Super Mario Odyssey 2.
Also what's going on with Pikmin 4? It's been years now, are we sure it wasn't in fact Hey! Pikmin? Does it really exist? And if it does exist, why does this keep happening to Pikmin?!
Why indeed,
Mop It Up, for now there's Pikmin 3 Deluxe.
½ pointSoothsayer ranking: Magic 8-Birdo.KAIRONGod I hope Pokémon Snap releases sooner rather than later. It's not that big a scope of a game, you're basically on rails so a lot of it is level design and polish and making a world look pretty without having to account for players actually navigating it freely. Could that make Fall 2020? That'd be so much fun. Or barring that at least an early 2021 release to catch the post Xmas buyers, like in February or March.
We don't really know yet
Kairon! But here's
½ point for taking part!
Soothsayer ranking: participation amiibo.ADROCKWell, the port train continues full steam ahead but it's gotta start slowing down now... right? How much more can still be ported/remastered at this point?
Wind Waker HD, Xenoblade Chronicles X, Wind Waker HD, Super Mario Galaxy 2, Wind Waker HD, Donkey Kong Country Returns, Metroid Prime Trilogy, Wind Waker HD, Twilight Princess HD, Skyward Sword (today’s Mario announcements make me want to revisit the other thread).
No real predictions here, but I'm feeling generous,
½ point for
Adrock.
Soothsayer ranking: Fortune Street for Nintendo Wii.Leaderboard:Mr Bungle: 8 points
Nickmitch: 4½ points
Insanolord: 2 points
Oedo: 2 points
Luigi Dude: 1½ point
Discord.RSS: 1 point
Fawful: 1 point
Khushrenada: 1 point
Adrock: ½ point
Broodwars: ½ point
Kairon: ½ point
Mop It Up: ½ point
Shaymin: ½ point
Stratos: ½ point
Congrats to all the winners, please join us in the next thread
which can be found here!